MANILA, Philippines — Amidst the country’s deepening power crisis and a national energy emergency, think tank Stratbase ADR Institute has issued a stern warning to the Philippine government: prioritize national security and avoid entering into energy agreements with “coercive” and non-democratic states.
In a forum held on Monday, May 4, 2026, Stratbase President Dindo Manhit emphasized that while the need for immediate energy relief is urgent, the long-term consequences of “debt-trap diplomacy” or strategic dependence on aggressive foreign powers could compromise Philippine sovereignty.
The warning comes as the Philippines explores various options to stabilize fuel and power supplies, including potential government-to-government (G-to-G) deals for liquefied natural gas (LNG) and nuclear technology.
“Our energy security is intrinsically linked to our national security,” Manhit stated. “While the temptation to accept quick-fix deals from states that use economic coercion as a tool of foreign policy is high, the government must remain vigilant. We must not trade our long-term territorial integrity for short-term energy stability.”
- Infrastructure Control: Concerns that foreign-backed energy projects could lead to “backdoor” control of the national power grid or critical maritime infrastructure.
- Supply Chain Weaponization: The risk that coercive states could cut off fuel or technical support during diplomatic disputes, similar to tactics seen in Europe and Southeast Asia in recent years.
- Transparency Issues: Stratbase urged the Department of Energy (DOE) and the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) to ensure that all upcoming energy contracts undergo rigorous public scrutiny and adhere to international standards of transparency.
Instead of pivoting toward authoritarian regimes, Stratbase recommended strengthening energy partnerships with “like-minded” democratic allies. The think tank pointed to ongoing discussions with the United States, Japan, Australia, and the European Union regarding:
- Renewable Energy Technology: Fast-tracking the shift to solar, wind, and offshore energy.
- Modular Nuclear Reactors: Partnering with trusted firms for small modular reactors (SMRs).
- Strategic Reserves: Building collaborative fuel stockpiles with regional partners to buffer against Middle East volatility.
The statement follows reports that the Philippines has been approached by several non-traditional partners offering subsidized fuel and infrastructure financing. Analysts suggest these offers often come with “strings attached,” particularly regarding the West Philippine Sea and maritime rights.
“The government should be wary of those who offer help with one hand while encroaching on our maritime zones with the other,” Manhit added, referring to the continued presence of foreign militia vessels in the country’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ).
As the administration navigates the 2026 energy crisis, the call from the security community is clear: energy independence must be achieved through diverse, reliable, and rules-based partnerships rather than high-risk entanglements.